Q Poll – Rell approval high, Dodd…not so much.

A Quinnipiac University poll released this morning shows Governor Jodi Rell with a 75% approval rating and looking strong against all Democratic comers should she choose to run for reelection next year.

A week after announcing her austerity budget, Rell’s approval is high even amongst Democrats, 67% of whom gave her a favorable rating

Secretary of State Susan Bysiewiecz has the early lead in the Democratic field of contenders for the Governor race, with 44% percent of the vote compared to 12% for Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy and 4% for former State House Speaker Jim Amman. (Now “the Crushed” instead of “The Crusher”?)

But according to the Q-poll, at this stage Rell beats all comers by a handy margin. Rell vs. Bysiewiecz 53%-32%, Rell vs. Malloy 58%-26%, and Rell vs. Amman 61%-21%.

Senator Chris Dodd’s attempt to reassure the public about his mortgage dealings does not appear to have had the desired effect.
Fifty four percent of voters said they were not satisfied with Sen. Dodd’s explanation of allegations that he received preferential mortgage treatment and 56 percent of voters say they are less likely to vote for him because of the controversy.

“Sen. Dodd is vulnerable. His approval has sunk to a new low. More voters disapprove than approve of the job he is doing for the first time in 15 years of polling,” Schwartz said. “The mortgage controversy has taken a toll on his approval rating. Most voters are not satisfied with Dodd’s explanation and say they are less likely to vote for him next year because of it.”

Let’s put this in perspective, people. As of today’s poll, Dodd is officially less popular than Sen. Joe Lieberman. And that’s saying something.

While we’re talking about Joe Lieberman, there’s some interesting news for the Blumenthal watchers. Lieberman’s favorability rating is still negative (49% vs.43%) but Attorney General Dick Blumenthal has a 71% approval rating. A Q Poll match up between the two showed Lieberman getting his head handed to him by Blumenthal, 58%-30%. A lot can happen between now and 2012, but food for thought, no?

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16 responses to “Q Poll – Rell approval high, Dodd…not so much.

  1. Forget Lieberman vs. Blumenthal, Quinnipiac should have polled a Dodd vs. Simmons race.

  2. Polling the Dem gov primary is almost a useless excercise at this point and anyone who follows politics in the state knows that Susie B’s 44% is misleading and Malloy, having come so close to being the Dem nominee two years ago, can and will poll a helluva lot higher than 12%.

    As for Dodd, people can talk all day long about how vulernable but none of that matters because while he may be vulnerable in a state with a functioning GOP, this is Connecticut. The only popular Republican in the entire state in Rell and she isn’t going anywhere near the Senate race. So who does that leave to take on Dodd? Rob Simmons and Chris Shays – two defeated congressman? McKinney – a guy whose name recognition doesn’t extend beyond Fairfield? There is no one. Dodd will have a lot of kissing up to do and a lot of handshakes and local events to attend over the next two years but he’ll be fine.

  3. Secretary of State Susan Bysiewiecz has the early lead in the Democratic field of contenders for the Governor race, with 44%

    Wait till they get to know her better; her numbers should drop like a rock.

  4. AndersonScooper

    If Himes showed us anything, it’s that you don’t need to be a known quantity to defeat an incumbent, once they fall out of favor with their constituents.

    Kay Hagan was an unknown State Senator who is now in the Club of 100, thanks really to Liddy Dole.

    Ditto for Jim Webb, who was a crappy campaigner. But a referendum was held on George Allen, and the verdict was death to the incumbent.

    Heck, the 2006 Dem primary was a referendum on Lieberman. Did Lamont win, or was it all about Joe?

    Fresh and new is going to be running against old and un-popular. Hmm.

    I wonder if McKinney or O’Connor might primary Simmons. Personally I hope its Simmons as that puts old guy vs old guy, and gives Dems a better shot.

  5. Anderson,

    The one thing all the people you listed have in common that they do not share with anyone running against Dodd: they’re all Democrats who were backed by grassroots movements. The GOP doesn’t do grassroots, people-powered movements and meetups. Also, while all those defeated incumbents suffered the consequence of being Republicans in change election years, voters were also voting against incumbents rather than for challengers because they were unpopular with stances taken by those incumbents. Dodd’s problem is personal, not political. And if things go well in the Obama administration leading up to the midterms, any Democrat (let alone someone like Dodd) will be just fine.

  6. Wait till they get to know her better; her numbers should drop like a rock.

    Get to know her better? Gee, she’s only been on the statewide ballot for 12 years – I think people know her plenty good. I think its the other guys that have to do the work making themselves known better – although, you would think that 4 years as Speaker and a contentious Gubernatoral primary would have already helped with that….so, maybe these numbers aren’t so off after all….

  7. AndersonScooper

    Things go well?

    This economy is going to get a lot worse before it gets better, and of course Statehouse Dems are going to raise taxes on us.

    How is Dodd going to escape taking a chunk of the blame for the economic mess, what with the right-wing noise machine constantly linking him and Barney Frank with Fannie and Freddie?

    And I disagree that Repugs don’t do grass-roots. What was the California recall, or Mike Huckabee for that matter?

    This isn’t about Dodd’s loans. It’s about the perception that Dodd was/is in bed with the financial institutions, –which he was supposed to be regulating.

    Maybe Dodd solves this by taking on the Credit Card companies with their usurious rates and abusive practices. But of course that would be biting the hand that feeds him. (Campaign $$$). Maybe we’ll get some safety valve type of legislation. But does anyone think Dodd will push for real reform?

  8. Clearly Bysiewicz’s high number is largely based on her name ID. I agree with ACR that it will drop once the campaign picks up (does she have a campaign website yet?).

    Re: Dodd, there’s blood in the water. He’s clearly falling into the “been in Washington too long” trap. Once there it’s hard to break out. Obviously he’ll be the favorite against any Republican who decides to challenge him (including Rell), but as of now there’s no doubt he won’t cruise to re-election in 2010.

    scanman1722, if Dodd merely rests on the belief that CTGOP isn’t strong enough to take him out and/or that he can win re-election simply because this is a blue state, he’s in trouble. Our senior Senator is going to have to campaign hard to save himself.

  9. This economy is going to get a lot worse before it gets better, and of course Statehouse Dems are going to raise taxes on us.

    …and the “stimulus” package will only make it worse.

  10. Get to know her better? Gee, she’s only been on the statewide ballot for 12 years –

    Ask around; ask someone who served in the CT House w/her – anyone, either party.

    Sooner or later during a higher profile gubernatorial run she’s bound to drop her guard and show her more venomous side.

  11. Schwartz should have polled Ned Lamont versus Joe Lieberman. Research 2000 has been commissioned by Daily Kos to ask that question for the past two years and each time Lamont comes up the winner with increasing margins. Given backing by Obama, for whom Lamont served as campaign chairman in Connecticut, Lamont would crush Lieberman.

    Although the examples of successful grass-roots campaigns are relevant, in this economic climate a guy who got a sweetheart deal on a mortgage, even if he did nothing illegal, which appears to be the case, the anger of the grass-roots against Dodd should not be underestimated. Frank Rich highlighted that growing have-nots against the haves feeling in his Sunday column. So Dodd, if he doesn’t make some very substantial efforts to explain exactly what happened, is definitely in big trouble. A sub-50% approval rating going into the election year will certainly attract a wellknown, or at least a deep-pocketed Republican opponent. He might even attract a Democratic challenger- a Chris Murphy, for example. And don’t dismiss that possibility out of hand. If Dodd faces a credible opponent, Chris Murphy or Blumenthal could give Dodd that final shove out the door by hinting that they’re ready to primary.

    And great to see you blogging here, Saramerica! Your time is so much better spent here rather than with the Greenwich Time retreads over at “Our Greenwich”!

    By the way, could you ask Joe Pisani what exactly he meant when he said that America lost its moral compass in the Sixties when it “institutionalized moral relativism”? I’d love to know what great phenomenon so distorted America in the Sixties that we now can’t tell right from wrong (Pisani’s words). Could you dig that out of him?

  12. AndersonScooper

    TH–

    Murphy won’t happen. Not after just one term, and particularly with 2012 looming as a much better bet.

    However either Malloy of Bysiewicz could wise up and realize that a Dodd take-out bid might have better chances of success than a run against a popular Jodi Rell. (If DeStefano or Malloy had gone against Lieberman in 2006, they’d probably be in the US Senate right now.)

  13. I’m just impressed by how the stock market has really taken to the passage of Obama’s epic “stimulus” package and Geithner’s new bank bailout:

    Wall Street: Thumbs down on bailout

    I blame George Bush.

  14. AS,

    “Murphy won’t happen. Not after just one term, and particularly with 2012 looming as a much better bet.”

    Well I guess I may as well get my two cents in….. I disagree with you. First of all in 2010 Murphy would have two terms in Congress under his belt not one as you say. Second it has been his history to hold on to his current position for only four years. He did two terms in the CT house, then two terms in the senate. 2010 would be two terms as the 5th district rep so it’s time to move on to bigger and better things. Beyond that Murphy is still very young even a defeat with a good showing would mean he’d be back.

    While for you Democrats Liberman is the donkey you most want to pin the tail on, and the easier bet, but that also would mean Murphy could possibly have plenty of other Democrats to battle for the privilege of doing that, and a four year wait to do so. A lot can happen four years.

    Why then wait? It seems even you Democrats have finally woken up to just how little Dodd has distinguished himself during his more than quarter century in the Senate. Frankly as unimpressed as I am with Murphy I must give him credit for having the guts and courage to go after what he wants, and more importantly get it as well.
    The only fly in this thinking is your 800 pound mouse of a gorilla Blummie. If he decides to take on Dodd which is almost laughable, then Murphy would probably wait until 2012 as you suggest. My guess is Murphy beats him to the punch, and announces he is taking on Dodd. That alone would mean Blummie would have seen his shadow, and declare six more years of waiting, while boring us with endless TV spots each night.

  15. I blame George Bush.

    That bastard!

    I thought the same thing this morning when Dunkin got my coffee wrong.

  16. When Murphy does decide to go for the Senate, He’ll have one advantage that others will lack. An army of volunteers!

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