Caliguiri for U.S. Senate?

Rep-Am:

The Waterbury lawmaker told The Republican-American on Friday that he is close to deciding whether to become a candidate for the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate.

“I am strongly leaning toward running, but I haven’t made a final decision,” Caligiuri said.

He said he expects to make his decision in a matter of weeks.

Well, that was unexpected. Or was it?

I can see Caliguiri gaining a pretty strong following. Which begs the question–what about Rob Simmons? Could there be a primary here?

What do you think?

[poll id=”10″]

Advertisements

30 responses to “Caliguiri for U.S. Senate?

  1. Wow – That is unexpected, but fantastic news. As someone who never really “got” Simmons or his appeal, maybe there is someone who can make a strong challenge to Dodd and bring some dignity, some service, and some dilligence as our US Senator. Sam is one heck of a challenge for anyone who wants to toss their hat in the ring at this point. Good for him.

  2. AndersonScooper

    Caligiuri is just building his profile and visibility towards the day when Murphy moves up to the U.S. Senate. And why not milk the press for a round of free articles?

    The best guy or gal for the GOP to put up against Murphy is probably Rob Simmons, although an argument could be made for McKinney, with his youth and Fairfield County $$$ working in his favor.

    Anyway, I hope there is a primary. It’d be fun to see the pragmatic Rell camp doing battles with Chris Healy and his ideologues. Frankly, I don’t know which way that would break. What do other people think?

  3. But Healy is with Simmons, a guy who shares many of jodi’s “progressive” ideas. Caligiuri is more conservative, but would probably have Rell’s support in a primary vs. Simmons, due to Rob’s recent criticism of the Gov. In this race, personalities would matter more political ideologies. And Sam would still win.

    As fro McKinney, he would be a very strong candidate should he choose to run for this, or any, bigger office.

  4. A few mos ago, I asked Sam to run. He didn’t rule it out, but he was very clear about the need to raise tons of cash. Based on a few things, including his tone of voice and the reality of public financing for state races… I concluded he was not running. But the article says he believes he can raise the money. So I’m assuming he’s in.

    I’m of the view that primary voters tend to be more interested in social issues than general voters. I can’t speak to specific issues, but my initial reaction is that Sam is more socially conservative than Rob (and significantly).

    Ignoring money and looking only at issues… I give a two-way primary to Sam (over Rob). And Sam beats Dodd in the general.

  5. Caligiuri offers a much better contrast to Dodd than Simmons, with much less baggage with regard to voting records. Simmons should run for Governor.

  6. Ignoring money and looking only at issues… I give a two-way primary to Sam (over Rob). And Sam beats Dodd in the general.

    But Healy is with Simmons, a guy who shares many of jodi’s “progressive” ideas. Caligiuri is more conservative, but would probably have Rell’s support in a primary vs. Simmons, due to Rob’s recent criticism of the Gov. In this race, personalities would matter more political ideologies. And Sam would still win.

    Wow – That is unexpected, but fantastic news. As someone who never really “got” Simmons or his appeal, maybe there is someone who can make a strong challenge to Dodd and bring some dignity, some service, and some dilligence as our US Senator. Sam is one heck of a challenge for anyone who wants to toss their hat in the ring at this point. Good for him.

    The support for Sam here is surprising. I think Simmons is old hat. Rob Simmons can’t argue that we need “change” by getting Dodd out of Washington. Simmons was there for six years. Sam is fresh and seems to have the pulse of the public. I like this move, considering Dodd continues to tank: http://www.necn.com/Boston/Politics/2009/02/19/Sen-Chris-Dodd-received/1235082716.html

  7. My two top issues are monetary policy and fiscal policy.

    I’m comfortable with Peter Schiff on both issues. I’m comfortable with Sam on fiscal policy, but have no idea where he stands on monetary policy – sound money or fiat money?

    TBCT, with Sam in the race it’s unlikely Schiff gets the nomination. But if it were Schiff vs. Simmons, Simmons is not really in line with the GOP on social issues (2nd amendment, Roe, etc.) … and if Schiff is… then Schiff could win.

    And if Dodd runs… I firmly believe an election is a referendum on the incumbent. If the economy continues getting worse for the next 12-18 mos… Schiff could beat Dodd.

  8. Ignoring money and looking only at issues… I give a two-way primary to Sam (over Rob). And Sam beats Dodd in the general.

    You know it’s Friday when people start talking crazy….

  9. Let me rephrase… Caligiuri could beat Simmons in a primary. And Dodd is quite capable of getting himself fired.

  10. Let me rephrase… Caligiuri could beat Simmons in a primary. And Dodd is quite capable of getting himself fired.

    Ok well even though I disagree with that it certainly makes more sense than what you first wrote..

  11. I think it’s a tough choice to make but I think I would throw my support to Caliguiri. Like GM said he brings a fresh face to compare with someone who has been a Senator for too long and is having a very hard time not looking out of touch. Both are going to have to make a decision soon and start raising cash asap. I don’t think the story now on the Courant is going to help Dodd very much either.. http://www.courant.com/business/hcu-doddbanks-0220,0,7362950.story

    I think Rell needs to make her intentions known very soon, if she does ultimately decide against seeking another term I’d like to see Simmons for Governor and Caliguiri for Senate. Would make for a very interesting 2010.

  12. Simmons would be a far stronger candidate against Dodd in 2010 than Caliguiri. He’s got better name ID, statewide connections, a stellar resume and is one of the best campaigners in the state.

    I like Caliguiri a lot and he certainly has a bright future in CT politics. I’d love to see him take on Murphy in 2010.

    The fact that another big name Republican is considering running against Dodd is a testament to how precarious his political foundation is.

  13. AndersonScooper

    If there were a primary, and Rell’s camp didn’t back Simmons, what are the chances Rob makes a grab for the governorship?

    Yes, there is a rift there. But how substantial is it?

    And what’s the beef between Chris Healy and John McKinney?

  14. Said it before….say it again:

    Dodd AIN’T running next year.

    I’ll take wagers on this one.

  15. If there were a primary, and Rell’s camp didn’t back Simmons, what are the chances Rob makes a grab for the governorship?

    ZERO. Running for Gov or U.S. Senate is NOT something you can just switch back and forth as the political winds blow….you cannot co-mingle raised money for a Federal Seat with a State Seat or vice versa. So to imply that one can just make a “grab” for the other seat if that seat doesn’t work out in a primary is simply wrong. When would you actually expect this to occur — August of 2010?

    All these candidates have to make their beds early and stay in them.

  16. And what’s the beef between Chris Healy and John McKinney?

    There isn’t one.

    Healy however, is a Republican.

  17. Caligiuri is just building his profile and visibility towards the day when Murphy moves up to the U.S. Senate. And why not milk the press for a round of free articles?

    Scoop, as Bloomie will attest… you can only cry wolf so many times.

    Of course, Sam is a far cry from that situation. Nonetheless, no pol is going “on the record” with the press about a possible candidacy… unless there’s real serious consideration.

  18. A thought for Dodd supporters / Lieberman opponents… Dodd could look good in a general, if he wins a primary.

    Someone should start a “Draft Crusher for US Senate 2010″ campaign.

  19. Btw, Crusher basically says he’s not running if Rell does.

    So if Jodi announces that she’s running… maybe Crusher actually would primary Dodd?

    I trust that most people here (on both sides of the aisle) want to keep Crusher in the spotlight for as long as possible. The Crush makes blogging so much more fun!

  20. I’ll take wagers on this one.

    Now, if you’da had the sack to cover the Cappy/Murph wager, I’da takin’ y’up on this, if only to be gentlemanly. [chuckling]

  21. Which Republican is best suited to beat Dodd? Well, really, which Republican would Dodd be more likely to lose to? I don’t necessarily think that a Republican can win the seat, but Dodd can lose it.

  22. I think its pretty clear that Dodd would be an idiot to run again in 2010, and if he does, he’ll be primaried. The question is, who will do it?

    My bets are on Murphy. Maybe Courtney as a moderate would have a decent shot too. But the Democrats may have as much difficulty finding a good candidate as they are for Governor. But those are teh two most likely, I think – unless you have a business man.

  23. So if Jodi announces that she’s running… maybe Crusher actually would primary Dodd?

    I doubt it. I don’t think Amann’s support of Lieberman was entirely as a fellow moderate Democrat, but because Amann didn’t like someone taking on an incumbent of his own party. There is no way that Jim Amann wants to be Chris Dodd’s Ned Lamont.

    My bets are on Murphy.

    Murphy is standing at the front of the line with Dick Blumenthal for a U.S. Senate seat if one opens up, but I can’t see Murphy challenging Dodd. Then again, I was surprised to see Murphy support Lamont after everything Joe Lieberman did to help Chris Murphy get where he is. None of Dodd’s faults, thoguh, are nearly as polarizing or glaring as Lieberman’s support of the war. I expect to see Murphy stick by Dodd in 2010.

  24. Well, really, which Republican would Dodd be more likely to lose to?

    Jodi Rell or Abraham Lincoln? Otherwise, I think he’ll be okay.

  25. Dodd wouldn’t lose a primary to a self-funded last-minute entry.

    Lamont beat Lieberman 52 to 48. And much of the base was angry with Lieberman.

    I see a lot of Rs & Us angry with Dodd for the first time. But Dems are more in the disappointed / disgusted / annoyed categories. It’s not so much anger. So I don’t expect to see a relative unknown (a la Lamont) successfully challenge Dodd.

    Murphy maybe… he’ll be watching the polls as much as anyone for the next twelve months… as he continues raising millions to run for CT-5. So financially, it’ll be possible for him to enter the race in Jan 2010 (unlike Susie B or others who are depending on state funding).

  26. Since Dodd retained his Banking Chair though and rejected Biden’s Foreign Relations Chair… I believe Dodd’s ego will never allow him to step aside.

    No amount of convincing will do anything… unless Obama hands him a job (possibly Cabinet, maybe an ambassadorship) by Q1 2010 and begs Dodd to take it.

  27. Sam has energy and a record to be proud of. And he’s extremely bright. And there’s a talented political circle around him that will rally around him quickly. Simmons circle of supporters isn’t really the same.

    I hope Sam follows through and runs. It’d be great to see him take it to Dodd. THAT’s change we can believe in!

  28. Sorry, I have not seen any Republican in the State Senate that has shown me anything. If we look in the House, there is Hamzy and Cafero.

  29. connecticutian

    I think its pretty clear that Dodd would be an idiot to run again in 2010, and if he does, he’ll be primaried. The question is, who will do it?

    My bets are on Murphy. Maybe Courtney as a moderate would have a decent shot too. But the Democrats may have as much difficulty finding a good candidate as they are for Governor. But those are teh two most likely, I think – unless you have a business man.

    I can’t see a serious primary challenge against Dodd. Every Connecticut Democratic House of Representative endorsed Dodd when he ran for President. With that said, why would they challenge Dodd in a primary? Two other people who could’ve been strong challengers against Dodd in a primary… Ned Lamont and Dick Blumenthal won’t run for the senate in 2010. Since Dodd is still popular with Democrats, it would be hard to see a generic Democrat win a primary against Dodd

  30. I don’t believe a primary challenge against Dodd could work. In 2006, there was a major issue separating Lieberman from his party, and it was one Lamont happened to be strong on. This element won’t be there at all in 2010. Is Dodd going to have a challenger with a terrible interest rate on his home?

    Not to mention Congressional Democrats and the constitutional officers probably don’t have the gall to run against an incumbent, and Dodd’s shortcomings aren’t nearly polarizing enough to give enough of a boost to a nobody.

    Just to add my own opinion: He’s a great United States Senator. His [otherwise frivolous] presidential campaign made him as bold and forward-thinking as he should’ve been throughout his whole career. This would be the last time to dump him.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s