Time Examines Dodd's Troubles

In yet another sign that Chris Dodd’s problems are very much on the national radar, Time is running a piece focusing on Dodd and his potentially difficult re-election battle. A good piece to read, though I’m guessing most people visiting this site are well aware of Dodd’s issues.

Rob Simmons said he’d let us know about his decision around the Ides of March, which is this coming Sunday. I wouldn’t be surprised to see an announcement from him late this week or early next week. Sam Caligiuri could get into the race soon, too, if that’s the way he’s leaning. Both candidates have their strengths, and a primary between them would not necessarily be a bad thing if both have strong fundraising.

There’s still an opening here, I believe, for an ambitious Democrat to primary Dodd.

Joe Loves Barack

In other Senate news, Joe Lieberman is now the very best of friends with Barack Obama. Awwww. Lieberman, who had taken a hard line against Obama during the campaign, has had nothing but nice things to say about the president ever since Obama stepped in to save Lieberman’s committee chair. Now, instead of an enemy in the Democratic caucus, Obama has a valuable (if fickle) ally. Well played.

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8 responses to “Time Examines Dodd's Troubles

  1. I’d love to see Dodd lose. I just don’t know if the electorate of this state would really throw him out, though. If I were a betting man, I’d have to say that Dodd makes it through with a lower margin that in his previous elections, but he’d still win. He got 66% against Jack Orchulli and 65% against Gary Franks. So even if his support slips 14%, he still wins.

    Do either of these Republicans have what it takes to win statewide? I mean, Simmons couldn’t win reëlection in his own congressional district. Yeah, he barely lost, I know. But if you look at it on a CD-basis, Dodd is pretty much going to clean up in Delauro’s and Larson’s districts. Maybe Simmons could beat him in his old CD, but by a lot? And then there’s Murphy’s district, where I would guess Simmons could maybe eke out a win, and then there’s the fifth, where Simmons or whomever really has to clean up. Are there really enough votes to defeat Dodd?

    Also, is there any potential for a third party spoiler? If Dodd’s support is softer, to say around the 50% mark, could some third party come along and get 2%? Like the Libertarians or some other group?

  2. Why can’t Dodd be the head of the DNC again? He did such a remarkably bad job that I’d wholeheartedly endorse him in that slot again.

  3. ambitious = Murphy

    and that’s not a bad thing.

    Though I won’t be upset at all if Sam faces Dodd in 2010.

  4. connecticutian

    Do either of these Republicans have what it takes to win statewide? I mean, Simmons couldn’t win reëlection in his own congressional district. Yeah, he barely lost, I know. But if you look at it on a CD-basis, Dodd is pretty much going to clean up in Delauro’s and Larson’s districts. Maybe Simmons could beat him in his old CD, but by a lot? And then there’s Murphy’s district, where I would guess Simmons could maybe eke out a win, and then there’s the fifth, where Simmons or whomever really has to clean up. Are there really enough votes to defeat Dodd?

    Yes. I think if things are bad for Dodd, Simmons do well in the 5th congressional district. Remember, despite Murphy’s landslide win, the district is the most conservative in Southern New England. While the 4th district is more liberal than the 5th, Simmons will win the 4th by a somewhat narrow margin assuming 2010 is a bad year for Dodd. I know that Dodd once was a congressman from the 2nd congressional district, but that was so long ago, most voters will have forgotten about that fact. So, I think Simmons will carry the 2nd congressional district because not to long ago, Simmons represented the 2nd congressional district. Dodd will win the 1st and 3rd congressional districts, but his margin of victories in those two districts will be insufficient to overcome his losses in the other three congressional districts.

  5. AndersonScooper

    Q-poll comes out tomorrow.
    http://politicalwire.com/archives/2009/03/09/dodd_faces_rebellion_in_connecticut.html

    At which point we should have a clearer idea of where Dodd stands vis-a-vis Simmons, as well as an unknown generic Republican like Caligiuri.

    My understanding is that the troublemaker Greg Schwartz did head-to-heads of Blumenthal against the various Repugs. If that is true, it will make for some very interesting discussion/speculation.

    Also, is Shays in the mix? If so, at least amongst Republicans, he should poll the best. Could we see a shocker in which Shays and Dodd are neck-to-neck?

  6. connecticutian

    Also, is Shays in the mix? If so, at least amongst Republicans, he should poll the best. Could we see a shocker in which Shays and Dodd are neck-to-neck?

    No… http://briefingroom.thehill.com/2009/02/06/shays-not-running-for-senate/

  7. AndersonScooper

    I hope I’m wrong, but my belief is that this Q-poll is going to be Doug Schwartz’ best attempt to play God.

    Again, I hope I’m proved wrong…

  8. Scoop… forget about playing God and forget about polls… just based on regular, everyday conversations… I know Dodd is in trouble… even my friends who are solid Dems mention him to me sometimes. And if I ever bring him up, again, solid Dems say they’re annoyed with him and figure he’s getting special deals… and has been in DC for too long.

    That’s not to say my Dem friends would vote for an R. But I bet most independents are ready to fire Dodd and hire any credible alternative… a role that could definitely be filled by Sam Caligiuri! (Though I still like Peter Schiff.)

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