Daily Kos commissioned a poll for the U.S. Senate race, the results of which you can see here. A word of explanation: though Daily Kos is a partisan site, they use Research 2000, a reputable independent pollster, to conduct their surveys.
They found Sen. Chris Dodd holding on to a narrow lead over Rob Simmons, 45%-40%. The very bad news for Dodd here is that he is still under 50%. Dodd’s favorability ratings are a little better, with 47% viewing him favorably, and 40% viewing him unfavorably. Simmons, on the other hand, has a favorable/unfavorable of 41/18, with 41% having formed no opinion.
Dodd is doing very well among Democrats (precluding a primary challenge, perhaps) but he is losing among Republicans and independents. Races in Connecticut often hinge on the support of independent voters, and Dodd is not getting nearly enough of it.
Dodd does break 50% against Sam Caliguiri, winning 51%-30%. However, a whopping 82% of respondents have no opinion on Caligiuri, which would likely change if he mounts a strong campaign. Dodd also wins against Larry Kudlow, who recently declined to enter the race.
Lieberman Still Unpopular
Research 2000 also polled the 2012 election, and found that Joe Lieberman is in pretty terrible shape. 44% view him favorably, while 54% have an unfavorable view of him. Oddly, the race matchups they chose to run were Lieberman as an independent, either Richard Blumenthal or Ned Lamont as Democrats, and Jodi Rell as the Republican. Rell crushes all comers, unsurprisingly.
Does that mean that there’s a chance Connecticut could be represented by two Republicans in the Senate as 2013 dawns? Well, there isn’t much of a chance. 2012 is a long way away, Simmons is by no means guaranteed to win in 2010, and Rell probably won’t run. Still, that possibility is there. Six months ago, it wasn’t.