A nightmare of a poll for Sen. Chris Dodd has just come out. A Quinnipiac University poll shows that the events of the past month, which has been nonstop negative news for Dodd, have taken their toll.
Dodd now trails Republican Rob Simmons 50%-34%.
Yes. He’s in the thirties, and Simmons has cracked 50%. We’re still a long way away from November, 2010, but Dodd is headed in the wrong direction with voters. Dodd loses 56-25 among independents, and even loses 27% of Democrats to Simmons.
Dodd’s approval rating now sits at 33%, while 58% disapprove of his performance (for comparison, Joe Lieberman’s approval is 46%, with 47% disapproving).
What’s Dodd’s problem? Voters no longer trust him. 54% say he is not honest and trustworthy. 27% of voters find that Dodd is most to blame for the AIG scandal, and 59% of voters say they’re angry about that.
Dodd does better against Caliguiri, in that he captures 37% of the vote to Caliguiri’s 41%. Yes, he’s behind to a guy most people in Connecticut have never heard of… but at least he’s keeping him under 50%! Even Tom Foley beats Dodd 43% to 35%.
At this point, Dodd is attracting only hardcore Democrats who vote for the Democratic candidate every election, and losing pretty much everyone else. This is an awful position to be in. He can’t win if these numbers don’t change dramatically. He must win back the trust of those Democrats who are wavering on him, and a very large number of independents. How does he do that?
I have no clue.
If last month’s poll numbers were a disaster for Dodd, these are basically an open invitation for another Democrat to get a primary challenge together.
A note of caution for Dodd-haters, however: this poll is wildly different from a Research 2000 poll released last week. However, Quinnipiac has a much better record here in Connecticut, so I’d be more inclined to trust their numbers than Research 2000’s.
Everyone Loves Jodi
Meanwhile, Jodi Rell continues to enjoy phenomenal approval ratings, as 72% of those surveyed approve of the job she’s doing. Whatever anger Connecticut residents are feeling, they’re definitely not taking it out on the governor.