Dodd "Most Vulnerable" Senator

Or at least, Stuart Rothenberg thinks so. A snippet:

It seems as if every election cycle one supposedly safe Senator up for re-election somehow finds himself in an unexpectedly difficult race. In 2004, it was Bunning. In 2006, it was Sen. George Allen (R-Va.). Last year, Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R-Ga.) was forced into a runoff. It already looks as if Chris Dodd will join that select club next year.

Expect this report, which has a useful litany of Dodd’s problems, to add fuel to the speculation that Dodd may either choose to retire, be shown the door, or face a significant primary challenge.

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5 responses to “Dodd "Most Vulnerable" Senator

  1. Just about every incumbent is at risk if the economy doesn’t appreciably recover by early next year.

    If it does make a significant recovery, and if Dodd makes some smart moves in the next 6 months or so (as opposed to the obviously dumb-assed maneuvers he’s been making recently), he’ll be fine. The 2010 Senate race isn’t a Republican’s to win, it’s Dodd’s to lose. As such, he’ll have a good amount of control over his future.

    Now it’s up to him to start looking like a smart guy who truly has the voter’s interests at heart.

  2. Now it’s up to him to start looking like a smart guy who truly has the voter’s interests at heart.

    Why start now?

  3. Expect this report, which has a useful litany of Dodd’s problems, to add fuel to the speculation that Dodd may either choose to retire, be shown the door, or face a significant primary challenge.

    To this I say:

    -How many four term senators from blue states do you know who would “choose” to retire on the basis of a poll taken a year and a half before the election?

    -Who is going to show Chris Dodd the door?

    Nancy DiNardo?

    Connecticut Democratic Party Chairwoman Nancy DiNardo said the state party establishment is fully behind Dodd and would never ask him to step down.

    “The election is a long way away,” DiNardo said. “When the time comes, Sen. Dodd will be in the state campaigning. People will remember what he has done for the people of Connecticut and what he continues to do serving the people.”

    Menendez, the guy in charge of the DSCC?

    The Hill’s Jeremy P. Jacobs reports that when asked, Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee Chairman Robert Menendez “still supports [Dodd] whole-heartedly.” Menendez went on to say, “Are you serious? Chris Dodd is going to be re-elected. He’s a great senator.”

    Maybe you meant Dick “I Don’t Make Bold Moves” Blumenthal? The day Blumenthal comes out and calls for Dodd to step aside is the day hell freezes over.

    -Who is a “signifigant primary challenge?”

    Answer: there is not and won’t be one.

  4. AndersonScooper

    What does Stuart Rothenberg know, anyway?

    As a CT Dem my bottom line is that we need to refuse to lose this Senate seat

    If Dodd can resurrect himself in the next six months fine, he’ll be our nominee.

    If not, it shouldn’t become a matter of “whistling” past the graveyard. Not when we have Blumenthal and Susie B. waiting in the wings with numbers better than Jodi Rell.

    PS– in the short term Dodd’s numbers are almost certain to creep up, as it has become clear to GOP leadership that they might have run too far, too fast. As such they will take it easy on Dodd, because in the words of one National Review asshole, they “want him bloodied, but not dead.”

  5. Chris Dodd has a tremendous record of support for Connecticut’s working families. We need him at work for our state. Many of the arm-chair campaign managers around the state have drawn the conclusion that he is in trouble because of his erred strategy to defend his record of late. They’re right. The economy induced frustration and subsequent paranoia has been looking for a scapegoat – along with the right wing sharks looking for political victime to exploit – and Dodd became a convenient one. He did not quickly, completely and effectively respond to charges over Countrywide, AIG bonus-gate, the Inishnee cottage, and the wife’s corporate directorship. He just didn’t seem to have the spark to fight back. He seemed worn out. His responses were more tepid and distant than fiery and engaged. Even so, none of the issues are really as deep or aggregious as the spin has portrayed them to be. But they have been left way open to conjecture, innuenndo, spin and hype without Dodd on the defensive warpath or acting as the aggressive campaigning animal he can be.
    So – his incredibly poor showing in the primaries, a lost VP slot – Countrywide may have bombed that choice, then Murphy’s law – everything that could go wrong did – up to now.
    Rest assured Dodd’s back. He seems to have a new spark – he’s responding and campaigning. As he has done before – will put a great team together, a big team that will work like hell, campaign like there’s no tomorrow and remind people of the true value of Dodd’s ability, knowlege, edperience and political savvy needed to get things done at the Senate. The 2010 Dodd Squad will be at work soon. It seems he has decided he wants to run and win again. He’ll repair the damage, get on track show his stuff and give any one – or all – of the Republican wannabees a real contest.
    No doubt he’ll win – because he’s good – and we will be a better state to have him back at work for us in these challenging times.

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