Has Dodd Hit Bottom?

From The Fix’s (WaPo) Friday Senate Line:

3. Connecticut (D): There are signs that Sen. Chris Dodd (D) has hit rock bottom and is starting the long climb back now. Dodd brought in more than $1 million in the first quarter of the year (a vast improvement over his showing in the final three months of 2008) and watched as his likeliest challenger, former Rep. Rob Simmons, decided against raising any money in the quarter — essentially granting Dodd a $1.4 million headstart. Couple the money with the fact that Simmons is likely to face former Ambassador Tom Foley, who has personal money to spend, in the GOP primary, and the outlook starts to look slightly more optimistic for Dodd. Still, when a poll shows an incumbent down by 16 points, it’s never a good sign. (Previous ranking: 4)

There are some signs that Dodd’s free fall has, at least, been slowed. March was a terrible month for him; April has been far kinder. That, of course, doesn’t mean he’s out of the woods–just that things aren’t getting any worse. What do you think?

[poll id=”19″]

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15 responses to “Has Dodd Hit Bottom?

  1. Dodd’s fundraising presents another challenge, to find contributors outside the oversight of his committee.

    This is Dodd’s race to lose, if his job approvals remain in the 30’s, the vote is anyone but Dodd.

  2. famillionaire

    Sorry Genghis, but relying on The Fix to pose a question is foolhearted. Their entire story is more beltway crap detached from reality.

    I still contend (as do most every single in-state political person I respect and have asked) that Dodd’s real threat is Sam Caliguiri. And this article brings up Foley instead? I hope those who are dismissing Sam as too far to the right are not the ones advising Dodd because the last thing he wants to do is try to talk about abortion and gay marriage (base issues for both sides) when the vast swinging middle is worried about or suffering from the economy.

    Please don’t debase yourself or this blog by front-paging ham-handed analysis from the likes of the WaPo or other Capitol punditry.

  3. AndersonScooper

    Of course Dodd has hit bottom.

    1. The media can’t be any meaner to him than they have been over the past three months.
    2. Moderates may be unhappy with Dodd, but when they see the alternative choice is an anti-gay, anti-choice Caliguiri, or a Tea Party attending Rob Simmons, — of course they’re going to trend back towards Dodd.

    In the next six months Dodd’s big danger is that the Democratic base gets pissed off at him. Is he really going to get tough with the credit card industry, or will he let them continue to rape struggling consumers with 29% interest charges?

    The other worry for Dodd is his staff, which has failed him so far. Only 5 CT donors, are you friggin’ kidding me.

    Finally in terms of more dirt against Dodd, Healy & Rennie are probably guilty of premature ejaculation. The whole Downe/Irish Cottage “scandal” is quickly becoming yesterday’s news.

    PS– best of all this ugly Dodd winter brought more than one Republican into this contest. And with Caliguiri and Simmons showing their true colors in order to appeal to their ideological base, it could be that none of this matters by 2010.

  4. Of course Dodd has hit bottom.

    Get serious.

    He’s but half the man his father was; and his father was totally corrupt!

    Don’t spoil the dream Scoop.
    Sooner or later Chris will get himself indicted for something….we just know it.

  5. AndersonScooper

    ACR–

    When your GOP campaign is based entirely on the other guy, (getting indicted or whatever), it’s pretty clear you’ve got a bankrupt campaign.

    What is it that Simmons or Caliguiri will do for us in Washington, D.C?

    It’s pretty clear that Sam the man is socially out-of-step with CT voters. And Rob Simmons is just another Beltway guy who is dying to get back to his preferred milieu.

    Wouldn’t it be interesting to see polling of Simmons or Caliguiri versus a generic Dem? My guess is they’d both be down something like 50-40, if not more.

  6. Dodd hasn’t hit bottom until he leaves the Senate… almost certainly not on his own terms. (by Obama appt or rejection in a general)

    Bernie Sanders is demanding transparency at The Fed. Russ Feingold and Chuck Webb are cosponsoring.

    Why hasn’t Dodd cosponsored the bill? Does he oppose transparency? Does he oppose good government?

    As Banking Chairman, can’t Dodd simply subpoena the documents requested by Bernie? Who does Dodd represent?

    I love the fact that Bernie Sanders is demanding that all 100 members put their John Hancock on this one.

    The Populists vs. The Political Class

    Hopefully this long over due struggle has finally arrived.

  7. Bernie’s bill is S 604. It’s a companion bill to Ron Paul’s HB 1207. Politico reported that Waxman and Grayson have cosponsored in the House.

    But none of CTs 7 members have cosponsored either bill.

    I see no legitimate reason for anyone to fail to support greater transparency at The Fed.

  8. What is it that Simmons or Caliguiri will do for us in Washington, D.C?

    The correct question is; “Over the next year or so, what damage will Chris Dodd do to us?

    What rights of ours will he give away?
    What will he cost us?

  9. I don’t know… I thought Dodd had the worst of it before the Irish Cottage. Seems like new stuff keeps popping.

    Too soon to tell. But he’s still in the crapper.

    I do agree with those who contend, as above, that having a crappy opponent isn’t anything to run your campaign on. You need a vision and a message, and we’ll need to see that.

  10. Please don’t debase yourself or this blog by front-paging ham-handed analysis from the likes of the WaPo or other Capitol punditry.

    Ouch!

    Though I don’t know why The Fix insists on including Tom Foley in the race, but not Sam Caligiuri.

  11. I do agree with those who contend, as above, that having a crappy opponent isn’t anything to run your campaign on.

    Exactly. Ask John Kerry!

  12. The other worry for Dodd is his staff, which has failed him so far. Only 5 CT donors, are you friggin’ kidding me.

    Dodd’s staff has failed him? His staff?

    What are you,the ultimate Democrat apologist? (Sorry, dumb question.)

    Dodd’s staff didn’t arrange his sweetheart mortgage. Dodd’s staff didn’t screw the pooch in his multiple interviews about AIG. Dodd’s staff didn’t go on and on about how he was going to come clean with his mortgage documents then make them available for 15 minutes and prevent anyone from making copies. Dodd’s staff didn’t throw Obama and the Treasury secretary under the bus when his white-haired ass was on the line.

    No, that was Duddy himself.

    Dodd’s staff is going to wind up very much unemployed. But it won’t be the fault of Dodd’s staff. It’ll be the fault of the senior senator himself. You know it. Every Democrat with a pulse knows it. And your pathetic efforts to badmouth the Republican candidates shows, frankly, just how terrified you are of losing what you always considered a “safe” seat — all as a direct result of Dudd’s own actions.

  13. connecticutian

    I still contend (as do most every single in-state political person I respect and have asked) that Dodd’s real threat is Sam Caliguiri. And this article brings up Foley instead? I hope those who are dismissing Sam as too far to the right are not the ones advising Dodd because the last thing he wants to do is try to talk about abortion and gay marriage (base issues for both sides) when the vast swinging middle is worried about or suffering from the economy.

    I’d guess they’re listing Foley because was an Imbassador while Caligirui is just a State Senator.

  14. famillionaire

    I’d guess they’re listing Foley because was an Imbassador while Caligirui is just a State Senator.

    That’s my point, they are clueless. Simply analyzing a race based on paper is foolish. I believe they are including Foley because he is a Washington insider too.

  15. Though I don’t know why The Fix insists on including Tom Foley in the race, but not Sam Caligiuri.

    My guess is that Fix thinks Foley is viable candidate because of his resumé and money. It reflects the Washington establishment’s preference for folks with degrees from elite universities, prestigious titles, and plenty of money.

    Of course, this assertion grossly underestimates the importance of having a solid ground game. Foley’s problem is that he has little if any networking, particularly outside of Fairfield County. Additionally, much of his networking in Fairfield County will be stale. Add in the fact that Foley is a flat, boring speaker and he’s being way overestimated by Washington’s political bookmakers.

    Of course, that, in turn, is a reflection on just how little wisdom there in Washington, these days.

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