“Simmons has had a firm lock on frontrunner status in this race since before he announced, and these numbers help cement that view.”
I’m not so convinced. Here you’ve got a guy who has been full-time fundraising for the entire quarter ( as opponent State Sen Sam Caliguliri pointed out both Simmons and the other opponent currently in the ring, Tom Foley are currently “jobless”), the campaign has said they need at least $5 million to defeat Dodd (and that’s without a potential 4 way primary) and as the supposed “anointed one” of the State GOP and the NRSC, Simmons couldn’t even raise $1 million this quarter? And let’s not forget that Simmons last quarter FEC filing showed $20 in donations, which means checks from the end of last quarter were probably carried forward to this quarter. Sounds more like #fundraisingfail to me.
Look at it this way. In only 26 days since announcing he was a candidate, Foley raised $530,000. If he’d been at it long as Simmons, he’d have probably raised between $1-$1.6M. The guy didn’t get to be a Bush Pioneer for nothing. He also has the means to self-fund. Just for fun, let’s see if every time the Greenwich Time writes a piece about him, they refer to him as a Greenwich millionaire, just like they did with Ned Lamont.
Caligiuri was stymied in his fundraising efforts by the lengthy legislative session (as he pointed out, he’s the only one in the race with a day job) but he has already locked in the support of many of the state’s social conservatives.
And then there’s the wild card, Peter Schiff. Should he decide to get into the race he’s got the online fundraising potential of all the Ron Paulites behind him.
So I’m not quiet sure what the Simmons people are smoking if they think these results are such good news for their guy. It looks to me like this primary race by no means a lock for Simmons – in fact, Foley’s clearly a serious contender for the front runner’s spot.
I’m also not sure what Jim Barnett was taking when he wrote in his “internal memo” that he expected Dodd to raise $2.5-$3 million in the 2 Q.
Because, yanno, Senator Dodd’s been a little busy this quarter, what with passing the Family Smoking Prevention and Tobacco Control Act, Helping Families Save Their Homes Act, a national service bill, plus helping to close the Medicare Prescription Part D doughnut hole. Oh yeah, and leading the healthcare reform effort in Senator Kennedy’s absence, working on consumer finance reformer , climate change and public transportation and addressing those fleecing bastards private health insurer Anthem Blue Cross , who recently asked the CT Insurance Dept for approval to raise rates an average of 23% for individuals.
Mr. Caligiuri, you aren’t the only one with a day job. Just the only Republican.
Barnett must be getting his Anthem prescriptions for free, because with a schedule like that in the last quarter, there’s no way Dodd had the time to be out stumping to raise the kind of sums he’s talking about. $1 million is a more reasonable expectation for this time in the race (it’s what he raised last time this far out) and with his kind of schedule.
As CT Democratic Party Communications Director Colleen Flanagan, put it:
“I don’t know what was in the tea bags at the tea parties Rob Simmons has been attending, but $2.5 to $3 million is absurd.”
Looks to me like the Simmons camp is trying to raise unrealistic expectations to deflect analysis of their own numbers.