I’m about to head off to North Carolina for a week, but as I was browsing this morning’s news I was struck by a few thoughts on the Governor’s race.
First, I think that the desire to avoid a “bruising primary” on the Democratic side is wrong-headed. I think the creed of all the Democratic campaign managers ought to be that anything that can raise the profile of the Democratic candidates is good for the eventual nominee. After all, in 2006 it wasn’t that DeStefano emerged from the primary too damaged so much as the fact that nobody had noticed that the primary had happened at all. It seems to me that the ideal field for the strict purpose of raising the profile of the candidates and eventual nominee would be Malloy, Bysiewicz, and Lamont. Malloy’s wonkishness, Byseiwicz’s name recognition, and the media’s interest in Lamont would serve to make the race palatable enough to voters to at least give the candidates a hearing in the doldrums of summer of ’10.
Second, if the budget standoff drags on for very much longer I think that it diminishes Amann’s already admittedly minimal shot at the nomination. Having a Democratic candidate tied to the legislature seems a bit ill-advised in this climate. This fact, coupled with the fact that Amann hasn’t released his fundraising numbers yet, would seem to indicate that he may not be in the race for very much longer.
On the other side of the coin, though, if a perception solidifies that the Governor is dragging her feet in the budget negotiations, then she might come out all the more damaged by the process. Meanwhile, the Democrats would ideally have a candidate completely independent of such things.