Rell Approval Rating at 65%

Governor Jodi Rell’s approval numbers dipped to just 65%, according to a new Quinnipiac Poll released this morning. 

The score, which stands as the lowest ever for the Governor, shows that despite a bruising budget fight Rell has maintained her popularity with people in Connecticut.  30% of those polled disapproved of Mrs. Rell’s performance.

Dr. Douglas Schwartz said this:

“If Rell is down a step or two, the Democrats are tumbling down the stairs,” Dr. Schwartz added. “Approval of the Democratically controlled State Legislature is below 40 percent and more blame the Democrats than Rell for the late budget.”

The numbers remain remarkable for the Governor, whose five year run as Governor has been punctuated by high approval numbers throughout – varying between a high of 83% and 65%.  Rell also scored a 65% rating in July 2008.

While these numbers will no doubt be welcomed by the Governor, and will likely buttress the case in favor of running for re-election, there are some warning signs that may allude to an electorate less pleased than the topline numbers let on.

In response to the question of how satisified they were with the way things are going in Connecticut, 45% said they were “Somewhat Satisfied” while 47% said they were “Somewhat Dissatisfied” or “Very Dissatisfied”.

While 58% said they would “Definitely” or “Probably” vote to re-elect the Governor, 35% said “Probably Not” or “Definitely Not”. 

These figures reveal a potentially unstable electorate that may be susceptible to a persuasive message for change.  Whether or not Dan Malloy, Susan Bysiewicz, or Jim Amann represent change is another issue altogether.

Speaking of the Democrats, the ones that haunt the Legislature are none too popular with the people.  45% of those surveyed said they disapproved of the way they’ve conducted themselves, 56% disapprove of the way they’ve handled the state budget, and by a nearly 2-1 margin they blame the Democrats over Rell for the budget stalemate.

So in sum, the Governor has been ruling as de facto Queen for the last three weeks, keeping state government operating only by the power of executive order, and while people aren’t happy about it, they don’t blame her. 

She is in the driver’s seat for whatever she decides to do next.

Advertisements

22 responses to “Rell Approval Rating at 65%

  1. These are great numbers for the Governor especially considering where we are in the economy.

    The 35% that said “Probably Not” or “Definitely Not would vote for her is the hardcore opposition that didn’t vote for her in the first place and would never support any Republican. Scooper, am I right about that?

    Rell 2010=Easy victory!

  2. AndersonScooper

    Why were so many questions missing from the poll that was released today? (The first numbered question began at #12.)

    I presume the rest of the poll, dealing with the Senate contest, wil be releases tomorrow.

    My guess is Dodd will be at least tied with Simmons and maybe even a little ahead. I give it 44-42% in Dodd’s favor. (If not we’ll be seeing even more commercials).

    The interesting part will be seeing if Foley is gaining any traction. My guess is he will be leading Simmons in Fairfield County, and nearly tied in CT-05.

  3. The interesting part will be seeing if Foley is gaining any traction. My guess is he will be leading Simmons in Fairfield County, and nearly tied in CT-05.

    What percentage of people in CT could name either Simmons or Foley at this point? I’d imagine a healthy percentage couldn’t even come up with Dodd’s name (but those people are probably comprised of people who don’t vote. And many people who don’t vote probably can name Chriss Dodd. Like Peter Schiff, for instance).

  4. The 35% that said “Probably Not” or “Definitely Not would vote for her is the hardcore opposition that didn’t vote for her in the first place and would never support any Republican. Scooper, am I right about that?

    Rell 2010=Easy victory!

    I would say that this is misguided optimisim. I think this is equally important:

    These figures reveal a potential unstable electorate that could be susceptible to a persuasive message for change.

    I think that far too often people being polled will gladly confuse approval with likability. Fact is, she can be a stronger leader during these times and that is becoming more and more evident. We deserve more in these times. If she wants to win re-election she is going to have to step-up her agenda and leadership significantly.

  5. AndersonScooper

    Amazingly I just got accused of trying to create unrealisitic expectations for Dodd heading into tomorrow AM’s poll release.

    Fact is I honestly believe that following two months of advertising and campaigning, the polls will show that Dodd has closed the gap. (Does anyone think the Simmons lead might grow from the 46-39% advantage he had last time?)

    And if the polls show that the gap isn’t quite closed this go-round, rest assured it will be closed by the end of the year. As that’s something the Dodd camp desperately needs to accomplish, AND it’s something Republican leadership wants to see happen.

    Because if Dodd were down, it might mean facing Blumenthal instead, with his near 80% approval ratings. And that race would not be close.

    Without Dodd in the race, the GOP has no chance at the Senate seat. So the wise play is to let Dodd recover going into the end of the year.

  6. If she wants to win re-election she is going to have to step-up her agenda and leadership significantly.

    Considering the Daisy BB gun caliber of her opponents I think you’re mistaken.

    People need a reason to fire the incumbent, there is none.

    Further, most people including most Democrats apparently, like having at least one grown-up watching the budget in Hartford.

  7. I would say that this is misguided optimisim. I think this is equally important:

    Brent, my “misguided optimism” is based on Rell’s current and past poll numbers. What is your informed analysis based upon?

  8. Brent, my “misguided optimism” is based on Rell’s current and past poll numbers. What is your informed analysis based upon?

    Personal frustration, and anecdotes of the same from many people. I concede that it certainly is not a poll, but we’re not in the election cycle. Poll numbers at this point are much less significant. My point is that a 2010 easy victory is a very early foregone conclusion from poll numbers, ones that are declining nonetheless. She is popular, and a lot will have to do with her challenges and challengers. However, she is not above being held accountable for her (in)actions. At some point, I have to believe, the state wakes up to her as a politician and leader stops the cognitive association with her and all of our mothers and grandmothers that inflates her popularity so much.

  9. However, she is not above being held accountable for her (in)actions. At some point,

    Brent, do you think people are going to hold the Democrat super majority in the house and senate accountable for their actions?

  10. Brent, do you think people are going to hold the Democrat super majority in the house and senate accountable for their actions?

    I certainly hope so. But that may, unfortunately, also be misguided optimism.

  11. Redleader to Red Five….

    Where is Red Five?!!

    Surely this warrants his comments…

  12. do you think people are going to hold the Democrat super majority in the house and senate accountable for their actions?

    People won’t at all.

    I guarantee if you asked people what they thought of their own Representative or Senator their approvals would be as high as Rell and if you asked them who they blame, it would be all the other Representatives and Senators.

    Since CT Governors have no coattails and CT GOP can not recruit any good candidates the super majority will stand.

  13. Since CT Governors have no coattails and CT GOP can not recruit any good candidates the super majority will stand.

    Only one State Senate seat needs to flip to do away with the Supermajority in the Senate. So that’s certainly a possibility: are there going to be an open seats or are there any Democrats who could be vulnerable (I guess the one from northern Bridgeport that the Democrats won this last cycle as a pick up probably is).

    In the House, the Republicans would need to get to 51, so that’s not going to happen.

  14. Only one State Senate seat needs to flip to do away with the Supermajority in the Senate. So that’s certainly a possibility: are there going to be an open seats or are there any Democrats who could be vulnerable (I guess the one from northern Bridgeport that the Democrats won this last cycle as a pick up probably is).

    Watch the 19th. Edith can’t live forever and when special election time comes, I think the Republicans will win that one. Whenever old man Meyer in the 12th gives it up, the Republicans could take that one back in an open seat situation.

    On the other hand, the 16th (Caligiuri) and the 28th (McKinney) could go Democratic in 2008 since it looks like they’ll both be open.

    He Doug, is Corky going to switch parties and run for Senate in the 16th?

  15. Sorry, I meant to write “Hey Doug” not “He Doug” and “2010” not “2008.” Time for bed……..

  16. Watch the 19th. Edith can’t live forever…

    She’s living proof of the adage – “only the good dye young”.

  17. On the other hand, the 16th (Caligiuri) ……….. could go Democratic

    Literally over my dead body.

  18. ..CT GOP can not recruit any good candidates

    Yeah we need some forgers like Crisco, cry babies like Caruso; and maybe we need a few that could kill off some women with legal impunity like the Democrats have.

  19. She’s living proof of the adage – “only the good dye young”.

    Uh….do not post late at night.

  20. Literally over my dead body.

    Do you mean that hopefully, or do you think it’s really a long shot? If it’s an open seat, I think the 16th is a toss-up. I’m not sure who’s considering a run, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see whoever loses between Vance and Jarjura make a strong run. Of Republicans in the 16th, who has the best shot? I would love Victoria Triano to give it a try. Regardless, I don’t think a campaign for an open seat in the 16th district leans toward either party.

  21. Doug, what about my question about Corky?

  22. Doug, what about my question about Corky?

    Yeah!

    What about that?

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s