Is Chris Dodd Done?

On the heels of last week’s dismal Quinnipiac Poll and this week’s return of the Countrywide mortgage mess, there may be a growing sense that Democrats should take the path suggested by former Party Chairman Ed Marcus on Face the State Sunday and replace Sen. Dodd on the November 2010 ballot.

But when the entire playing field is considered, is Mr. Dodd’s position really all that bad?  His polling numbers, though still lousy, are improving – particularly among Democrats, who make up 40% of the electorate in Connecticut. 

His campaign continues to push their messaging offensive through every medium.  Though the “he makes lobbyists cry” message was derided for how laughable it was, it no doubt bolstered wobbly supporters who were happy to see the “old” Chris Dodd back in the fight.

Even the much-maligned Connecticut Democratic Party, which apparently went from October 10, 2008 to March 16, 2009 without issuing a press release, has been put on a war footing and now participates in the public debate on a daily basis.

Meanwhile, Dodd’s potential opponents continue to press their attack amid the most uncertain electoral atmosphere in nearly two decades.  Many voters are losing confidence in the Obama agenda and the Congressional Democrats, but they continue to be unimpressed by the plans offered by Republicans, like their plan to . . .?  Can anyone name a new idea offered by a Republican in recent months?

Retiring U.S. Senator George Voinovich of Ohio offered the following critique of the Republican Party in an interview with the Columbus Dispatch:

“We got too many Jim DeMints (R-S.C.) and Tom Coburns (R-Ok.). It’s the southerners. They get on TV and go ‘errrr, errrrr.’ People hear them and say, ‘These people, they’re southerners. The party’s being taken over by southerners. What the hell they got to do with Ohio?’ ”

The comment gets to the core of what hampers the Republican candidates against Dodd.  Is there anyone who believes that Simmons, Foley, or Caligiuri benefits when Senate GOP Leader Mitch McConnell opens his mouth on national television?  Hardly.

The Democrats have tarred Republicans with the poor performance of President George W. Bush for two successive election cycles and it has worked, sweeping out a Republican majority in both chambers of Congress and retaking the White House.  And the hobby horse still has legs, as polling shows that #43 still receives 54% of the blame for the nation’s economic woes.

The reality is that other than Chris Dodd’s ample failings, the Republican have not yet identified a compelling message for the voters that transcends George Bush, Iraq, and the flagging economy.  Until that message emerges – if it emerges – Senator Dodd, even with his baggage, is still very much in the game.

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28 responses to “Is Chris Dodd Done?

  1. Dodd will run as an Independent. That’s my prediction. The Democratic leadership is a mess. It’s time for them to force another Senator from their ranks.

    The reality is that other than Chris Dodd’s ample failings, the Republican have not yet identified a compelling message for the voters that transcends George Bush, Iraq, and the flagging economy.  Until that message emerges – if it emerges – Senator Dodd, even with his baggage, is still very much in the game.

    Obama will be celebrating his second hundred days in office next Friday. Let’s itemize his accomplishments with the supermajority. Oops. Shortlist.

    The GOP will pick up votes the way they usually do. They promise nothing good ever comes from government and try to lower taxes. People believe that. ‘Change we can believe in’ isn’t selling so well these days.

    I think Rasmussen has the numbers right:

    http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

  2. “We got too many Jim DeMints (R-S.C.) and Tom Coburns (R-Ok.). It’s the southerners. They get on TV and go ‘errrr, errrrr.’ People hear them and say, ‘These people, they’re southerners. The party’s being taken over by southerners. What the hell they got to do with Ohio?’ ”

    In the House, the three Republicans that are trying to stop the wasteful spending and advance something of a conservative agenda are Mike Pence of Indiana, Jeff Flake of Arizona and Paul Ryan of Wisconsin. However, the Republican party in the house has resisted their advancing into the leadership ranks. Meanwhile the Republican leadership in the House seems totally old school. Why they kept their leadership positons is beyond me.

    I don’t see Coburn as a typical southern politician: he’s a reluctant senator who seems genuinely like he hates politics yet sort of wound up as a Senator. Yes, he happens to be from a southern state, but his main agenda is to stop wasteful spending.

  3. Oh please Heath, we all know you’re a former Simmons staffer, you just want Dodd to stay in so it’s easy for Rob to beat up on him a year and a half from now. If someone like Chris Murphy stepped in, it’s a whole new ballgame.

  4. Stank Morgan,

    Health wrote a very intersting piece and you’re just plain whining with a pretty stupid argument, give it a rest will ya?

    Rob Simmons has more experience in Washington than Chris Murphy and if the people continue to lose confidence in Obamma and the Congressional Democrats then Simmons would be happy to defeat Murphy.

    I’ve said all along that Dodd won’t be the Democratic nominee for US Senate in 2010. It’s nice to see that Health agrees with me too. I disagree with goatboy as I don’t see Dodd running as a petitioning candidate.

    If the Democrats continue to stink up Washington, Murphy won’t run for US Senate. Chris Murphy is a very smart politician, he only gets into races where he knows he can win and like I said, if public opinion is against the Democrats in 2010, he won’t run.

    I do agree with you Stank that if public opinion is high on Obamma and the Congressional Democrats in early 2010, then Murphy (if he got in) would beat Simmons.

  5. Question:

    Can anyone name a new idea offered by a Republican in recent months?

    Answer: HR 1207 – Audit the Fed by Republican Ron Paul

  6. Answer: HR 1207 – Audit the Fed by Republican Ron Paul

    What ever happened to it?

    Kinda died, didn’t it….. 😉

  7. February 2009… with nearly 280 House members and 20 Senators in only five months… it’s gaining steam… despite the strong opposition of Banking Chair Chris Dodd. (That’s because Chris Dodd opposes transparency and good government with regard to monetary policy… presumably because this particular issue relates to his campaign contributors, The Masters of the Universe, at Goldman Sachs).

    I wonder how Jim Himes felt about the Taibbi piece in Rolling Stone?

    http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/story/28816321/inside_the_great_american_bubble_machine

    Himes’ background and relationships need a better vetting before he gets another term. I hope McKinney saw the Rolling Stone piece.

    I’m like Bernie Sanders and Ron Paul… I’m tired of the same old Bush / Obama economic team of Goldman / Sachs / Rubin / Paulson / Geithner running and destroying the world economy for their own benefit.

  8. The problem for HR 1207 is that it is a populist cause and the Obama / Reid / Pelosi / Dodd / Frank cabal is utterly opposed to a populist movement… and protecting the little guy… when it comes to potentially inflicting pain on their boss, Mr. Goldman Sachs.

    Of course, Bush was no better. Paulson, Rubin and Geithner’s gatekeeper (his Chief of Staff) all hale from the same address… the home of Mr. Goldman Sachs.

    Frankly, it’s pathetic how many of CTs lefties give Dodd a pass on this issue. Truly pathetic. I mean, people like Dodd don’t even offer a substantive counterpoint, other than “the Fed must maintain its independence.” To which Dodd cannot further explain… though Bernie Sanders tattooed that BS theory in the pages of the WaPo today.

  9. the Republican have not yet identified a compelling message for the voters that transcends George Bush, Iraq, and the flagging economy.

    Ron Paul has identified it. The problem is convincing rank n file GOP that fiscally conservative government includes the Pentagon.

    As for Voinovich and his whining, perhaps he should’ve been there to defend Demint when he offered his amendment to audit the Fed… but then my guess is that George is not a populist… he’s probably a member of The Political Class… like Dodd and Joementum… they all need to go… and good riddance.

    As I’ve said before, I’d take a Sanders or Feingold over a Stevens or McConnell anyday.

  10. famillionaire

    Good post, Heath.

  11. February 2009… with nearly 280 House members and 20 Senators in only five months… it’s gaining steam… despite the strong opposition of Banking Chair Chris Dodd. (That’s because Chris Dodd opposes transparency and good government with regard to monetary policy… presumably because this particular issue relates to his campaign contributors, The Masters of the Universe, at Goldman Sachs).

    “gaining steam” now that’s just plain funny! Lots of people have signed onto it but how far has the actual bill moved along in the process? I honestly don’t see that it’s moved at all.

    Your “populist” movement only garners about 4% of the vote, in case you haven’t noticed. 😉

  12. Hank Morgan

    You’re a real piece of work Brenda. I see you still have a problem spelling names correctly.

  13. You’re a real piece of work Brenda. I see you still have a problem spelling names correctly.

    Yeah – and that’s soooo last year don’cha think?

    I hate that.

  14. If someone like Chris Murphy stepped in, it’s a whole new ballgame.

    Yes – the prince of darkness himself would undoubtedly “change” the race.

    Considering his youth and the damage he’ll do if left unrestrained and in office it’s actually MORE important that he lose than Dodd, who has become a characture parody of aged corrupt political scum.
    Just like his dad!

    Clearly Dodd has reached the desired end-goal for young Murphy.

  15. You’re a real piece of work Brenda. I see you still have a problem spelling names correctly.

    It’s a Tourette’s thing, a genuine mental disorder from the looks of it. Someone who could cleverly “mis-spell” the name Hank as “Stank” has got some issues that won’t be solved in a blog comment thread.

  16. Jonathan Kantrowitz

    What a great article, especially considering the source!

    Dodd isn’t going away – and as the Republican primary candidates do everything possible to win over hard-core Republican voters they will be turning off every independent in Connecticut.

  17. I am confused. How does an article that starts out so brilliantly outlining Senator Dodd’s obvious hypocrisies turn into just another “Republicans are stupid” rant? Rather than protecting Senator Dodd by stating that the Republicans have no hope of defeating him, why don’t we start touting the wonderful attributes of some of the potential Democratic candidates who could replace him on the ballot next year?

    Senator Dodd is a very savvy politician, reminding me of Newt Gingrich in that he can perform whatever heinous acts of self-appeasement he wants, while still performing well in the polls and getting himself re-elected time after time because HE IS SMART ENOUGH TO SUPPORT HIS CONSTITUENTS! Go ahead, tell me he doesn’t always do what is best for the state of Connecticut. This basic tactic is so effective, yet oh so destructive in the long run (AIG bonus, anyone?).

    I would gladly support ANY candidate who could defeat Senator Dodd in the next election, and right now that looks like it will most likely be Rep. Simmons.

  18. He may be done. But I don’t want him to be replaced by a big-government Republican that will be almost as bad (Simmons, Foley). Peter Schiff is raising money… let’s see if it’s enough to convince him to run.

  19. I am confused. But I will look up Peter Schiff, who I am not familiar with…

  20. Great post, Heath. As for the headline question, I hope not! As the GOP isn’t beating anyone but Dodd.

    As for Voinovich, he’s a big whiner and always has been — you may recall him crying on the Senate floor two years back about what a meanie John Bolton is! A fake. As for Southern leadership, great: We’ll take the South and the Dems can have the coasts — so your standard-bearers are Pelosi, Waxman, Frank, Schumer, Barbara Boxer, and Patty Murray — now there’s a handsome group!! And as for “Err, err,” has anyone listened to Frank lately. Nithe lithp!

    OK, enough levity. As for ideas, prior to the now-deplored Stimulus, one House member suggested a one-year end to Social Security taxes, which would have been a rebate to every worker, and also would give a respite to employers, increasing the likelihood of actual hiring. This was rejected by Pelosi, in favor of lots of spending on make-work summer temp jobs that will do nothing to help the economy long-term.

    And as for ideas in general, the job of the opposition sometimes is to oppose — not to create a huge agenda, but to expose the flaws in the agenda of the majority. That, in turn, often translates into votes — see 1994, and also the Dems in 2006 — they had no agenda, save for “We’ll do everything the exact opposite of Bush.”

    Not a bad move, given the polls at the time, and it worked.

  21. wtfdnucsailor

    Dodd is making the rounds in the State to shore up his lagging numbers. If he has not recovered by the end of the municipal elections in November, the Dems better find another candidate if they want to keep the seat. However, don’t count Dodd out just yet.

  22. yo Brenda… and all the supporters of Chris Dodd and his opposition to transparency and good government when it comes to the Banking Committee that he chairs…

    http://timwhitelistens.blogspot.com/2009/07/75-of-americans-want-fed-audited.html

    Rasmussen says 75% of Americans want the Fed audited.

    So in this case:

    Ron Paul and Bernie Sanders represent the people.

    And Chris Dodd opposes the people.

  23. You’re a real piece of work Brenda. I see you still have a problem spelling names correctly.

    And you’re a real “piece of work” too Stank. You say something stupid and wrong with your whiny tone, I point that out and the only thing you can come back with is whining about the way I spelled your name!

    I see you also have no sense of humor either which is unfortunate. I generaly agree with you most of the time and figured you wouldn’t be so thin-skinned as to take offense. Sorry, I guess I was wrong.

    Doug’s getting a little testy too. He still won’t answer my question about Corky switching parties and running for State Senate in the 16th as a Republican. Ever since I mentioned that, he’s been more on edge than usual.

  24. yo Brenda… and all the supporters of Chris Dodd and his opposition to transparency and good government when it comes to the Banking Committee that he chairs…

    yo Tim, Ron Paul is a certified nut job. If he was a true “representative of the people” then how come he can only get 4% of the vote?

    Your continued infatuation with him and his band of whackos makes me continue to think less of you.

    No wonder Vickie sleeps well at night……..

  25. yo Tim, I see you never did answer my original question so I’ll ask it again:

    “gaining steam” now that’s just plain funny! Lots of people have signed onto it but how far has the actual bill moved along in the process? I honestly don’t see that it’s moved at all.

    You’re obviously more in tune with what’s going on down in Washington than I am so please enlighten us, how far has the actual bill moved along in the process?

    Or, you could just ignore me again and/or try and change the subject again which is fine because that means that the bill is indeed going nowhere which is what I figured all along.

  26. Dear Brenda,

    How did you become so awesome? You know everything, what’s seen and unseen and you write with such commanding confidence that doesn’t at all come off as petty or childish. One would never think that you’re a terribly insecure lonely little person. What’s your secret to becoming the Alex Jones of CT politics.

    Sincerely,

    FR

  27. Barney Frank held a HFS meeting a few weeks ago.

    And yes, The Masters of the Universe are trying to kill the bill. But it won’t work.

    And back to answering Heath’s question… Republican Ron Paul has introduced one of the most significant pieces of legislation in decades, if not the past century. And for proof… why is there so much overt resistance to it? The answer is because it is such a powerful piece of legislation. And yes, it is moving forward. And all the hatred and anger toward Ron Paul and his love of (both economic and civil) liberty will not stop it. I’m guessing that even President Transparency won’t ultimately veto it.

  28. yo Tim, Ron Paul is a certified nut job. If he was a true “representative of the people” then how come he can only get 4% of the vote?

    Obama is the President. I believe that’s largely because of his speaking ability. RP is not a terribly strong public speaker. His strength is in his ideas.

    In the age of 24/7 news cycle where sound bites mean too much… it’s difficult for ideas to break through the cacophony of ad homenym attacks offered by people like you because ideas takes time to explain and then be considered.

    And despite your apparent opposition to it, freedom is popular.

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